VasiliZhuk
0x4ffb5f4e5ddda43c6f7ed7c0960dd183ee5ba435
- Realised P&L
- $-55.07
- Volume
- $978.22
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $5.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will zekken play for Sentinels in 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.141 | $2.83 | −$3.77 |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.077 | $1.55 | −$0.85 |
| Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 6 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.040 | $0.75 | −$1.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.95at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8?
- +$1.79at 0.410Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1?
- +$0.80at 0.340Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 120 and 149 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?
- +$0.40at 0.130Will "Minions & Monsters" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.39at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 03:58 | Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $2.83 |
| 10-09 17:09 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 10-09 16:58 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.65 | $3.61 |
| 10-09 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.63 |
| 10-09 15:38 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.3 | $0.25 |
| 10-08 16:06 | Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 10-08 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 06:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.09 |
| 10-08 06:50 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #2 US song this week? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-08 01:26 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.33 |
| 10-07 20:02 | Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.12 |
| 10-07 19:52 | Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.92 |
| 10-07 19:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.22 |
| 10-07 17:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 175 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.13 |
| 10-07 16:26 | Will "The Social Reckoning" score at least 66 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |