PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4fe0ad0862358308414c14c500b1c47bbc1525e0

0x4fe0ad0862358308414c14c500b1c47bbc1525e0

Realised P&L
$-16.57
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$0.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20? · Yes0.4800.180$0.75−$1.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 25? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 27? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 8PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Up0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 20? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes0.2720.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.069999999$2.00
10-19 21:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETBUY0.99$2.00
10-19 21:48Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?BUY0.4799999616$2.00
10-07 05:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.04$1.00
10-05 22:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?BUY0.0038535645$1.00
10-05 22:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?BUY0.05$1.00
10-05 22:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-05 15:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY0.8599997764$1.00
10-05 15:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-05 15:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?BUY0.002$1.00
10-04 17:10Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.32$1.00
10-04 17:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.6899996964$1.00
10-04 16:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5?BUY0.037746344$1.00
10-03 15:33Columbus (Doubles): Milavsky/Shick vs Carpico/FilinBUY0.469999906$1.00
10-03 15:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.32$1.00