0x4fe0ad0862358308414c14c500b1c47bbc1525e0
0x4fe0ad0862358308414c14c500b1c47bbc1525e0
- Realised P&L
- $-16.57
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $0.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.38at 0.028Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 19?
- +$13.70at 0.135Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20?
- +$7.84at 0.118Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
- +$1.17at 0.472Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 4?
- +$1.01at 0.346Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 22:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 21:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 21:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0038535645 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 22:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.037746344 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:33 | Columbus (Doubles): Milavsky/Shick vs Carpico/Filin | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |