0x4fdcf76bb5ae86a6c7ebc3779f078791a279ca1f
0x4fdcf76bb5ae86a6c7ebc3779f078791a279ca1f
- Realised P&L
- $-64.4k
- Volume
- $498.4k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $58.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Harold Mayot · Clement Chidekh | 0.485 | 0.999 | $41.2k | +$21.2k |
| Penn State vs. Northwestern · Northwestern | 0.440 | 0.435 | $17.6k | −$201.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.2kat 0.530Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw
- +$12.7kat 0.630Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
- +$10.0kat 0.470Will France win on 2026-10-02?
- +$5.3kat 0.627W100 Templeton, CA: Carolina Kuhl vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer
- +$3.1kat 0.774Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 23:25 | Penn State vs. Northwestern | BUY | 0.44 | $17.8k |
| 10-02 19:39 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.3k |
| 10-02 19:35 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Chidekh vs Harold Mayot | BUY | 0.485515579 | $20.0k |
| 10-02 17:56 | Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich | BUY | 0.345402602 | $3.5k |
| 10-02 17:42 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Henry Bernet vs Felix Balshaw | BUY | 0.4977074269 | $15.0k |
| 09-30 22:51 | Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | BUY | 0.1899999991 | $30.30 |
| 09-29 01:53 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4386692169 | $10.6k |
| 09-29 01:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5461049647 | $824.32 |
| 09-29 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5360641543 | $217.92 |
| 09-29 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5184699819 | $697.18 |
| 09-29 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.477637158 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.48503768 | $699.62 |
| 09-29 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4987846365 | $345.43 |
| 09-29 01:19 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.36 | $3.9k |
| 09-29 01:17 | W100 Templeton, CA: Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez vs Olivia Lincer | SELL | 0.9900823229 | $4.2k |