cherryrain
0x4fd9a67bd026faefc29c39bb998a9ecdc90c49b2
- Realised P&L
- $24.47
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $212.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.07at 0.592Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 20?
- +$3.21at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on October 20?
- +$2.67at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 20?
- +$2.52at 0.720Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 20?
- +$2.46at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.64 |
| 10-20 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.771 | $7.71 |
| 10-20 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.6699999602 | $6.39 |
| 10-20 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.08 |
| 10-20 12:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.67 | $8.71 |
| 10-20 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.87 |
| 10-20 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 21? | BUY | 0.836 | $8.36 |
| 10-20 11:25 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.11 |
| 10-20 11:01 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.02 |
| 10-20 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 10-20 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.87 | $10.44 |
| 10-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.57 | $4.56 |
| 10-20 10:00 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22? | BUY | 0.5299999655 | $6.60 |
| 10-20 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.59 |
| 10-20 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 20? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.01 |