PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG

0x4fd3503c78bd1ececdbe034a4dfe156ce659ef31

Realised P&L
$-10.3k
Volume
$420.4k
Markets traded
591
Open portfolio
$4.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded591
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8920.984$4.9k+$455.45
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · No0.8940.905$39.35+$0.48
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.795$11.32+$3.77
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · No0.5600.855$3.05+$1.05
Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027? · No0.9500.940$2.74−$0.03
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9370.980$2.10+$0.09
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9941.000$2.01+$0.01
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? · No0.8970.977$1.09+$0.09
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9200.085$0.09−$0.91
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$1.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 19:21China x Japan military clash before 2027?SELL0.96$1.11
10-29 06:48Putin out as President of Russia by March 31, 2027?BUY0.95$2.77
10-27 05:06Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099992538$1.00
10-26 15:54Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099997678$2.90
10-24 01:39Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9$1.38
10-22 08:20Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999653$1.31
10-19 18:58Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999506$1.29
10-16 18:41Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999506$1.29
10-13 17:02Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.909999958$1.30
10-10 04:19Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9099999675$1.40
10-07 01:56Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.91$1.00
10-06 15:15Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.91$2.00
10-04 16:18Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.899999685$2.00
09-30 19:05Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.9$10.00
09-09 02:29Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.87$12.00