PolyBot

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Traders

0x4fcf4836d3b39f13759e4188eb5ba9d26767f33b

0x4fcf4836d3b39f13759e4188eb5ba9d26767f33b

Realised P&L
$36.58
Volume
$458.89
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$120.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 14? · Yes0.1000.285$15.82+$10.27
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? · No0.4040.425$13.33+$0.64
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 14? · No0.5601.000$10.91+$4.80
Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on October 14? · Yes0.5200.825$9.34+$3.45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14? · No0.6201.000$8.79+$3.34
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? · Yes0.5400.835$8.35+$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 14? · No0.8401.000$7.53+$1.20
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 15? · No0.9600.935$6.35−$0.17
Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 14? · No0.2700.625$6.25+$3.55
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 14? · Yes0.8500.900$6.00+$0.33
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14? · Yes0.6980.599$5.51−$0.92
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15? · Yes0.1420.090$3.86−$2.23
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 14? · Yes0.4100.250$3.78−$2.42
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 14? · Yes0.4600.330$3.60−$1.42
Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 14? · No0.1000.050$3.13−$3.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 14:37Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 14?BUY0.85$5.67
10-14 14:37Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14?BUY0.6984568449$6.43
10-14 14:37Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.4299999605$4.35
10-14 14:17Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15?BUY0.1418825722$6.09
10-14 14:17Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.27$2.70
10-14 14:17Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 15?BUY0.96$6.52
10-14 14:07Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15?BUY0.1099203187$2.76
10-14 13:12Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 14?BUY0.96$4.80
10-14 13:07Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 14?BUY0.1$6.25
10-14 11:42Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 14?BUY0.1$5.55
10-14 10:42Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14?BUY0.77$3.85
10-14 07:57Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.4$2.00
10-14 06:42Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14?BUY0.3899999822$6.34
10-14 03:57Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 14?BUY0.46$5.02
10-14 03:52Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14?BUY0.54$5.40