0x4fcf4836d3b39f13759e4188eb5ba9d26767f33b
0x4fcf4836d3b39f13759e4188eb5ba9d26767f33b
- Realised P&L
- $36.58
- Volume
- $458.89
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $120.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.88at 0.104Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 3°C on October 12?
- +$4.92at 0.507Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 13?
- +$4.46at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 13?
- +$2.98at 0.657Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on October 13?
- +$2.64at 0.695Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on October 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.67 |
| 10-14 14:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.6984568449 | $6.43 |
| 10-14 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4299999605 | $4.35 |
| 10-14 14:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1418825722 | $6.09 |
| 10-14 14:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 10-14 14:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.52 |
| 10-14 14:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.1099203187 | $2.76 |
| 10-14 13:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 10-14 13:07 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.25 |
| 10-14 11:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.55 |
| 10-14 10:42 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-14 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.3899999822 | $6.34 |
| 10-14 03:57 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.02 |
| 10-14 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |