PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4fc7e6fd2039d14b6f0bc8e8a5330c89195ae155

0x4fc7e6fd2039d14b6f0bc8e8a5330c89195ae155

Realised P&L
$-13.61
Volume
$149.53
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$2.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · No0.7500.969$1.29+$0.29
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September? · Yes0.3500.345$0.99−$0.01
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3300.160$0.48−$0.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 09:34Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-09 00:03Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-07 15:47Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
10-07 07:42Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
10-06 23:42Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-01 20:41Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
09-24 05:42Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-24 05:42Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-23 21:41Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in September?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
09-17 06:33Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.64$2.00
09-16 10:32Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
09-16 02:32Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.7799999133$1.80
09-07 12:23Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.5099999566$2.00
09-04 00:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.64$2.00
08-26 20:24Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.5% and 0.6% over the 12 month period ending in August 2026?BUY0.3899998908$2.00