PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4FC3651cbF669FA5bd8e1c5a49C73d0982af3AF9-1778134600558

0x4fc3651cbf669fa5bd8e1c5a49c73d0982af3af9

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$202.1k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$405.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 02:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.1799999856$2.00
09-18 02:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19?BUY0.919999999$38.00
09-18 02:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?SELL0.999$6.65
09-18 02:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?SELL0.999$11.07
09-18 02:04Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?SELL0.999$17.42
09-17 03:41Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18?BUY0.8599999983$20.00
09-17 03:40Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.9892644526$340.00
09-17 03:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?SELL0.998$61.73
09-17 03:39Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17?SELL0.999$302.73
09-16 08:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17?BUY0.75$5.00
09-16 08:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17?BUY0.4509803727$5.00
09-16 08:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.8599999989$15.00
09-16 08:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17?BUY0.9699999997$60.00
09-16 08:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.99$300.00
09-16 08:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16?SELL0.999$83.96