0x4FC3651cbF669FA5bd8e1c5a49C73d0982af3AF9-1778134600558
0x4fc3651cbf669fa5bd8e1c5a49c73d0982af3af9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $202.1k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $405.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.18at 0.868Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?
- +$147.65at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
- +$142.54at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?
- +$111.59at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?
- +$98.60at 0.836Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.919999999 | $38.00 |
| 09-18 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.65 |
| 09-18 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.07 |
| 09-18 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.42 |
| 09-17 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9892644526 | $340.00 |
| 09-17 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $61.73 |
| 09-17 03:39 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $302.73 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.4509803727 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 08:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.8599999989 | $15.00 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999997 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $300.00 |
| 09-16 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $83.96 |