0x4FC3651cbF669FA5bd8e1c5a49C73d0982af3AF9-1778134600558
0x4fc3651cbf669fa5bd8e1c5a49c73d0982af3af9
- Realised P&L
- $-74.19
- Volume
- $231.2k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $626.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$211.18at 0.868Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?
- +$147.65at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 18?
- +$142.54at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?
- +$111.59at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 11?
- +$98.60at 0.836Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5103042158 | $10.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.0088235741 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 11-02 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.9915042238 | $500.00 |
| 11-02 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $707.57 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.9883086649 | $700.00 |
| 10-31 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $309.22 |
| 10-30 09:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $10.93 |
| 10-30 06:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 31? | BUY | 0.9691923396 | $300.00 |
| 10-30 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3183361562 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 1? | BUY | 0.3619909502 | $10.00 |