AlexSheva07
0x4fc23ee1c1493613327f3238fafd116d005596ec
- Realised P&L
- $-585.68
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $49.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.402 | 0.040 | $49.33 | −$452.26 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.34 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.94 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.21 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-14.34at 0.610Lighter Airdrop on December 29?
- +$-29.54at 0.440Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-29 11:28 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.18 | $20.45 |
| 12-29 11:28 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.2903356896 | $60.00 |
| 12-28 14:02 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499295331 | $10.00 |
| 12-28 13:55 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | SELL | 0.54 | $110.65 |
| 12-28 08:23 | Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | BUY | 0.6099999956 | $125.00 |
| 12-19 20:49 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 12-19 20:10 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 12-19 14:47 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.27 | $164.05 |
| 12-18 10:29 | Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | BUY | 0.032 | $16.94 |
| 12-17 09:53 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.4099999986 | $56.21 |
| 12-15 11:31 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999933 | $9.09 |
| 12-15 11:28 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 12-15 11:22 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999984 | $40.00 |
| 11-28 15:44 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4016453108 | $501.59 |
| 11-25 19:16 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.008 | $3.00 |