PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4fc05f2a48a28e18519e65e31beb3ea6aa448f39

Realised P&L
$-5.08
Volume
$49.72
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$1.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.5600.880$1.57+$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 13:38Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-12 15:10Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 00:23Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-07 12:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
09-01 09:56Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7089999121$1.00
08-31 01:25Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-30 16:45Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-30 07:21Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.33999983$1.00
08-29 21:59Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-29 13:58Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in August?BUY0.5599998432$1.00
08-29 03:54Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-28 17:21WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 28?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-28 09:00Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-28 00:59Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-27 16:58Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.29999982$1.00