0x4fc05f2a48a28e18519e65e31beb3ea6aa448f39
- Realised P&L
- $-5.08
- Volume
- $49.72
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.880 | $1.57 | +$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$0.90at 0.530Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.77at 0.570Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in August?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.748Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,350 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 15:10 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:23 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:05 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 09:56 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.7089999121 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 01:25 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $276 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 16:45 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 07:21 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 21:59 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 13:58 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 in August? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:54 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 17:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 28? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 09:00 | Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 00:59 | Will Trump say "SpaceX" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 16:58 | Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |