machao9899
0x4fbf3801f1e2ca4589fef901737a9d9c83444605
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $346.0k
- Markets traded
- 596
- Open portfolio
- $168.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded596
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.500Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?
- +$1.2kat 0.521Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
- +$1.2kat 0.552LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
- +$1.2kat 0.569Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
- +$1.2kat 0.527Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:22 | LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.41 | $149.65 |
| 09-18 22:04 | LoL: Forsaken vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.41 | $98.40 |
| 09-18 13:01 | LoL: LOS vs LOUD (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs | SELL | 0.39 | $29.25 |
| 09-17 10:43 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.39 | $35.86 |
| 09-17 10:35 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 05:02 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | SELL | 0.3920725389 | $18.92 |
| 09-16 16:23 | Games Total: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 09-16 09:41 | Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Pavel Lagutin | BUY | 0.5536027778 | $19.93 |
| 09-16 05:09 | Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ENCE - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 09-15 15:14 | Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.5747263682 | $115.52 |
| 09-14 14:34 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.36 | $30.60 |
| 09-14 14:23 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $8.75 |
| 09-14 14:04 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-14 14:03 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $24.50 |
| 09-14 14:03 | LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Verdant - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3595283019 | $38.11 |