machao9899
0x4fbf3801f1e2ca4589fef901737a9d9c83444605
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $293.3k
- Markets traded
- 451
- Open portfolio
- $291.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded451
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.514Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 205.5
- +$1.2kat 0.520Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5
- +$1.1kat 0.440Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- +$963.45at 0.445LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In
- +$911.52at 0.530Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 14:47 | LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs paiN Gaming Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season | BUY | 0.45 | $111.95 |
| 08-05 14:21 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage | BUY | 0.5745757576 | $94.81 |
| 08-05 14:19 | LoL: Blue Otter vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage | BUY | 0.56 | $22.75 |
| 08-04 16:52 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.999 | $777.22 |
| 08-04 09:41 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.55 | $427.90 |
| 08-03 13:10 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $548.65 |
| 08-03 09:32 | LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.33 | $113.85 |
| 08-03 09:26 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.0103356 | $1.03 |
| 08-03 07:14 | LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.31 | $29.14 |
| 08-02 11:35 | LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | SELL | 0.53 | $79.07 |
| 08-01 22:14 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $289.71 |
| 08-01 14:45 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $145.00 |
| 08-01 12:27 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $186.12 |
| 07-31 06:40 | Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $27.55 |
| 07-30 15:58 | LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.31 | $5.58 |