brian66-766
0x4fbee3b49abb970dabfee98d5abb8a5f748a01ec
- Realised P&L
- $-11.02
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $11.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group A · NIP | 0.680 | 0.675 | $11.02 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.49at 0.710Suns vs. Nuggets
- +$2.52at 0.999Solana all time high by March 31?
- +$1.77at 0.387<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?
- +$1.35at 0.460Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
- +$1.01at 0.520Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:39 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.31 |
| 01-30 14:07 | Will Chainlink hit $19 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.15 |
| 01-30 13:14 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.43 |
| 01-30 12:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999542 | $18.15 |
| 01-30 12:12 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.92 |
| 12-30 11:15 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999119 | $10.10 |
| 12-30 02:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.24 |
| 12-30 01:10 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.53 |
| 12-29 21:40 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999865 | $18.73 |
| 10-30 20:44 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.35 |
| 10-30 17:54 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.70 |
| 10-30 17:43 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.71 |
| 09-29 18:31 | Will Solana reach $270 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.84 |
| 09-28 23:58 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.19 |
| 09-28 23:46 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.9979999855 | $17.90 |