PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4FBeB3A03d79371369e1BD5B85c34AC45B211A4A-1778704693014

0x4fbeb3a03d79371369e1bd5b85c34ac45b211a4a

Realised P&L
$-3.69
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$7.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes0.1300.225$3.46+$1.46
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · Yes0.7300.665$2.73−$0.27
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00−$1.00
Will the fight be won by submission? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 20:04Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?BUY0.001$2.00
10-13 18:42Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.7299998297$3.00
10-13 18:42Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.1299999948$2.00
08-15 15:27Will the fight be won by submission?BUY0.359999904$1.50
07-20 03:28Andrew Tate released from custody by July 31, 2026?BUY0.04$2.00
07-04 14:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.128$1.00
06-16 15:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
05-23 14:51Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
05-23 14:45Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?BUY0.2$1.00
05-22 23:20Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?BUY0.001$1.00
05-22 23:19Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?BUY0.0487643123$1.00
05-22 23:18Will Bernie say "Stakeholder" in Maine?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
05-15 20:06Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?BUY0.001$2.50
05-14 10:25Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?BUY0.3299998927$2.00
05-13 20:48Will Trump Insult Xi this week?BUY0.0370000007$2.00