0x4FBC699842B5683DC510B25c06394D439CD4B85a-1772412235915
0x4fbc699842b5683dc510b25c06394d439cd4b85a
- Realised P&L
- $94.27
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $163.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$208.60at 0.746Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$11.41at 0.726Will Caleb Wilson be the 4th overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?
- +$10.84at 0.475Bulls vs. Warriors
- +$10.51at 0.689Spread: Germany (-3.5)
- +$10.51at 0.156Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:55 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0689999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 22:57 | Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 22:54 | Will the New England Patriots have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 10-30 22:49 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 22:39 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0769999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 01:14 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $825.29 |
| 10-20 05:21 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7428687948 | $494.75 |
| 10-20 05:11 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7342426147 | $113.17 |
| 10-20 05:10 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | SELL | 0.31 | $118.07 |
| 10-19 07:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6669999443 | $4.00 |
| 10-17 09:11 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $15.00 |
| 10-13 07:45 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.4248545846 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 07:45 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.971 | $107.17 |
| 10-10 02:57 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.6015063789 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 18:21 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | BUY | 0.7157057625 | $50.00 |