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Traders

0x4FBC699842B5683DC510B25c06394D439CD4B85a-1772412235915

0x4fbc699842b5683dc510b25c06394d439cd4b85a

Realised P&L
$94.27
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
179
Open portfolio
$163.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded179
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? · Yes0.7900.890$112.66+$12.66
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0730.077$21.30+$1.30
Will the New England Patriots have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · Yes0.6100.585$19.18−$0.82
Will the Seattle Seahawks win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · O 10.50.5000.530$10.60+$0.60
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Up0.7180.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Down0.4980.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$5.00
Nuggets vs. Spurs · Spurs0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) · Atalanta BC0.6690.000$0.00−$5.00
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET · Down0.6440.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.2930.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:55Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0689999996$10.00
10-30 22:57Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South?BUY0.7899999968$100.00
10-30 22:54Will the New England Patriots have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.6099999927$20.00
10-30 22:49Will the Seattle Seahawks win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?BUY0.5$10.00
10-30 22:39Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0769999999$10.00
10-27 01:14Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.999$825.29
10-20 05:21Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7428687948$494.75
10-20 05:11Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7342426147$113.17
10-20 05:10Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.31$118.07
10-19 07:42Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6669999443$4.00
10-17 09:11Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.4399999883$15.00
10-13 07:45Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.4248545846$100.00
10-13 07:45Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.971$107.17
10-10 02:57Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.6015063789$25.00
10-07 18:21Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.7157057625$50.00
Trader 0x4FBC699842B5683DC510B25c06394D439CD4B85a-1772412235915 · PolyBot Pro