scalpftw
0x4fba7b263cc71d8664df25334786e24f6d356aba
- Realised P&L
- $-536.37
- Volume
- $97.9k
- Markets traded
- 892
- Open portfolio
- $64.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded892
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.20at 0.460Packers vs. Bears
- +$98.41at 0.676Will United States win on 2026-07-01?
- +$67.00at 0.330Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$61.64at 0.312Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$57.80at 0.677S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 20:48 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | SELL | 0.89 | $153.86 |
| 08-03 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999487 | $2.60 |
| 08-03 09:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999847 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 08:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999804 | $5.70 |
| 08-03 08:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6199999823 | $6.30 |
| 08-03 08:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999672 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 08:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.429999957 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 07:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999748 | $6.30 |
| 08-03 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-03 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1899999481 | $2.60 |
| 08-03 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6149903562 | $6.40 |
| 08-03 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2241524791 | $2.30 |
| 08-03 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $3.30 |
| 08-03 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |