emilianrus
0x4fb89d975e4e43d584b61f3c3b01802f700577d7
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $147.0k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.002USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$472.22at 0.017USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?
- +$94.86at 0.983Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on February 5?
- +$79.01at 0.519Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $160 end of February?
- +$46.50at 0.070Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $150 end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 05:10 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 08-16 05:05 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 08-16 05:03 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-16 04:58 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-16 04:34 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-16 04:27 | Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-16 04:01 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 03:54 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 08-16 03:28 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 08-16 03:27 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 03:21 | Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-16 03:20 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-16 03:15 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 08-16 03:07 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-16 02:24 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-15? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.30 |