mueel
0x4fb7fdcb09f90385f807fbf7dea48a7e355e6c16
- Realised P&L
- $-45.93
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $279.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.45at 0.174Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$47.14at 0.489Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$27.89at 0.622Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$20.32at 0.163Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?
- +$17.53at 0.229Will Ben Shelton Win ATP Montreal
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 06:55 | Will "Primetime" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.24 | $4.44 |
| 09-24 06:54 | Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6737499625 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 21:47 | Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:22 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 22:32 | Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.2548688097 | $5.87 |
| 09-22 22:07 | Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3619142572 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 21:38 | Will "Digger" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.5239999853 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 21:37 | Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.92 | $16.73 |
| 09-21 21:08 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.32 | $9.41 |
| 09-20 18:56 | Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2684362773 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 18:51 | Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-20 18:50 | Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.2614444444 | $16.00 |
| 09-18 19:19 | Will Paul Giamatti win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 17:26 | Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:26 | Will "Heart of the Beast" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3299999852 | $6.00 |