Mekros7648983
0x4fb6a8ed0f7c44911c216ce853e789d1ba55238b
- Realised P&L
- $10.90
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $54.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs · Canadiens | 0.500 | 0.495 | $39.60 | −$0.40 |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights · Golden Knights | 0.700 | 0.695 | $9.93 | −$0.07 |
| Panthers vs. Hurricanes · Panthers | 0.470 | 0.465 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche · Avalanche | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Hurricanes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Islanders vs. Rangers · Rangers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| NL: Geneve-Servette vs. Ajoie · Geneve-Servette | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Sabres vs. Penguins · Sabres | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Athletics · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.66 |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens · Sabres | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Golden Knights vs. Ducks · Golden Knights | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.14at 0.654Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$19.70at 0.507Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
- +$17.37at 0.467Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$15.22at 0.397Canadiens vs. Lightning
- +$14.89at 0.287Men's Group B - Slovakia vs. Finland
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:21 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 06:18 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 06:18 | Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 06:17 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 17:38 | Islanders vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:45 | Sabres vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 13:06 | Hurricanes vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:56 | NL: Geneve-Servette vs. Ajoie | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 16:54 | KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:53 | KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:52 | KHL: Torpedo vs. CSKA Moscow | BUY | 0.7843137255 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:09 | Assat Pori vs. Vaasan Sport | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:07 | Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5556657626 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 10:03 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 10:02 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |