PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

USERgm

0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$304.8k
Markets traded
443
Open portfolio
$659.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded443
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5380.640$188.00+$29.88
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.9200.815$146.70−$18.90
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9140.851$127.23−$9.47
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.9130.639$46.81−$20.01
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.8670.685$34.62−$9.19
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8900.775$26.12−$3.88
Felix Protocol FDV above $10M one day after launch? · No0.8100.820$24.60+$0.30
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2110.245$22.58+$3.16
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · Yes0.7470.425$13.35−$10.12
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8700.510$10.20−$7.20
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.0600.064$8.32+$0.52
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8300.730$6.93−$0.95
Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.535$3.39−$0.35
Tuyo FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0800.170$0.35+$0.19
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? · No0.5390.000$0.00−$70.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:47Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.6199999971$30.00
09-17 14:46Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.57$140.48
09-17 13:56Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.45$0.50
09-17 13:52Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.4499999978$30.00
09-17 13:51Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.4499999984$100.00
09-09 10:25LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.869999999$9.00
09-09 10:21LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.869999998$40.00
08-18 09:45Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.83$24.90
08-10 20:32Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?SELL0.1263349459$21.94
08-10 19:40Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.1492537313$10.00
08-09 11:10Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.3530895229$20.00
08-03 10:29Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.28$11.20
08-03 10:29Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.2726711291$55.81
07-29 19:06Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.61$36.60
07-29 19:06Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.6179303279$15.08