PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

USERgm

0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$303.6k
Markets traded
436
Open portfolio
$888.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded436
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.5670.620$210.94+$18.16
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July? · No0.8870.996$200.16+$21.88
Ethereal FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.9200.921$165.78+$0.18
Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9140.910$136.14$0.57
Ethereal FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.8670.775$80.89$9.58
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8900.740$24.94$5.06
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? · No0.8780.958$21.81+$1.81
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.8700.775$15.50$1.90
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2250.235$10.84+$0.48
Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? · No0.1830.275$7.86+$2.63
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.1530.185$4.44+$0.76
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yes0.1610.050$4.25$9.44
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7900.815$2.86+$0.09
Will Ethereal launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.325$2.06$1.68
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? · Yes0.0300.006$0.12$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 10:29Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.28$11.20
08-03 10:29Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.2726711291$55.81
07-29 19:06Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.61$36.60
07-29 19:06Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.6179303279$15.08
07-29 18:37Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?BUY0.9199999963$10.00
07-28 20:55Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.22$3.48
07-28 20:55Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.2330942857$16.32
07-28 20:51Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.45$9.90
07-28 20:50Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.45$61.65
07-28 20:50Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.46$25.30
07-28 20:48Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.4716634615$49.05
07-27 22:13Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
07-22 08:20Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.95$39.33
07-22 08:16Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.72$3.64
07-20 10:25Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
Trader USERgm · PolyBot