USERgm
0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $304.8k
- Markets traded
- 443
- Open portfolio
- $659.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded443
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.07at 0.582Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)
- +$322.27at 0.482Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5
- +$316.26at 0.440Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$252.43at 0.898Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
- +$213.21at 0.189Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:47 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999971 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 14:46 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.57 | $140.48 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $0.50 |
| 09-17 13:52 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4499999978 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 13:51 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4499999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 10:25 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.869999999 | $9.00 |
| 09-09 10:21 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.869999998 | $40.00 |
| 08-18 09:45 | Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.83 | $24.90 |
| 08-10 20:32 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.1263349459 | $21.94 |
| 08-10 19:40 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.1492537313 | $10.00 |
| 08-09 11:10 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.3530895229 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 10:29 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 08-03 10:29 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2726711291 | $55.81 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $36.60 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6179303279 | $15.08 |