USERgm
0x4fb1d5b6f34b3c9622ff934dde4df6981cc70787
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $303.6k
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $888.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$434.48at 0.580Spread: Wake Forest Demon Deacons (-11.5)
- +$325.00at 0.480Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5
- +$317.40at 0.440Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$259.91at 0.895Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
- +$212.96at 0.540Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 10:29 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 08-03 10:29 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2726711291 | $55.81 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $36.60 |
| 07-29 19:06 | Ethereal FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6179303279 | $15.08 |
| 07-29 18:37 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 20:55 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.48 |
| 07-28 20:55 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2330942857 | $16.32 |
| 07-28 20:51 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.90 |
| 07-28 20:50 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $61.65 |
| 07-28 20:50 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $25.30 |
| 07-28 20:48 | Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4716634615 | $49.05 |
| 07-27 22:13 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 08:20 | Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.95 | $39.33 |
| 07-22 08:16 | Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.64 |
| 07-20 10:25 | Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |