wfxbm7r7x8di
0x4faa13a4a1dc6a67d80c84a661eb2d6be53a4c4e
- Realised P&L
- $-58.91
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $237.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.770 | 0.645 | $82.93 | −$16.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.805 | $69.56 | −$0.43 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.705 | $31.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.725 | $23.24 | −$1.76 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.614 | 0.409 | $19.98 | −$10.02 |
| Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.370 | $9.49 | −$0.51 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.032 | $1.21 | −$3.79 |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.001 | $0.11 | −$9.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.96at 0.797Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$29.04at 0.470Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
- +$22.74at 0.181Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?
- +$21.55at 0.190U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$16.97at 0.372Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 16:48 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7699999974 | $99.00 |
| 10-27 06:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $29.99 |
| 09-06 15:13 | Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.4559475331 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 12:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 05:47 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 17:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6139999949 | $30.00 |
| 08-28 19:56 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 08-28 15:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-28 15:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 05:26 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0129999958 | $3.00 |
| 08-12 18:26 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13? | BUY | 0.4605394557 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 13:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 04:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 04:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 11:57 | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |