PolyBot

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Traders

0x4fa500b36c762bf68aea55d5ed60516342c61744

0x4fa500b36c762bf68aea55d5ed60516342c61744

Realised P&L
$-35.82
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
251
Open portfolio
$89.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded251
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Medvedev vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5 · Over0.5300.525$49.53−$0.47
Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.5000.995$39.80+$19.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.0050.000$0.00−$1.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 1PM ET · Up0.7700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ET · Up0.0540.000$0.00−$1.00
Zverev vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 · Over0.6900.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 18:41Medvedev vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5BUY0.529999998$50.00
10-15 18:40Set Handicap: Rafael Jodar (-1.5) vs Casper Ruud (+1.5)BUY0.6799999932$20.00
10-15 18:37Chwalinska vs. Sakkari: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.5$20.00
10-14 20:26Paolini vs. Kartal: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.5$20.00
10-14 20:25Zverev vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.6899999979$30.00
10-14 20:25Zverev vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.6899999952$20.00
10-14 17:20Wuhan Tennis Open: Karolina Muchova vs Diana ShnaiderBUY0.4899999968$50.00
09-29 18:09Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
08-21 23:39Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETSELL0.94$111.76
08-21 23:39Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.9251637367$110.00
08-16 20:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4PM ETBUY0.6199999864$10.00
08-16 20:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 4PM ETBUY0.629999988$10.00
08-16 14:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.6$10.00
08-16 11:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETBUY0.629999988$10.00
08-16 09:07Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETBUY0.631089023$10.00