Wolfy03
0x4f9a4c398d72ceeb87a3df37cac75924a6a8c92b
- Realised P&L
- $-12.45
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $44.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.98at 0.223Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$14.87at 0.258Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?
- +$13.20at 0.282Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$8.53at 0.855Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$6.94at 0.429Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 08:43 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 08:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 08:36 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 18:45 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 18:38 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 18:34 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1859999961 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 13:54 | Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.8509999889 | $50.00 |
| 06-17 07:59 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $15.00 |
| 06-17 07:56 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 07:55 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6858369565 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 07:48 | LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffs | BUY | 0.8799999986 | $25.00 |
| 06-06 04:54 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.43 | $9.57 |
| 06-04 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $1.36 |
| 06-04 07:24 | Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the first round? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.52 |
| 06-03 07:26 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | SELL | 0.087 | $1.74 |