chbty67
0x4f9331b25aec484d1925fd31bb6af065967ee2b1
- Realised P&L
- $597.07
- Volume
- $24.2k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $52.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.957 | 0.989 | $45.47 | +$1.45 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.835 | $6.60 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$594.49at 0.410Warriors vs. Magic
- +$1.69at 0.967Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?
- +$0.74at 0.979Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.21at 0.985Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.20at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 07:26 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.9909998478 | $2.76 |
| 09-30 13:11 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.967 | $49.58 |
| 03-30 12:21 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.985 | $13.78 |
| 03-30 12:19 | Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.46 |
| 03-30 12:14 | Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.927 | $10.80 |
| 03-30 12:14 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.52 |
| 02-18 02:31 | Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $34.65 |
| 02-18 02:30 | Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.9439999966 | $11.00 |
| 02-18 02:24 | Manchester United wins the Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $45.65 |
| 01-20 09:53 | Manchester United wins the Premier League? | BUY | 0.997 | $45.61 |
| 12-27 14:31 | Linea airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.9969999995 | $41.54 |
| 12-27 14:31 | Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.869999958 | $1.45 |
| 12-27 14:30 | Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.8799999788 | $1.66 |
| 12-27 14:30 | Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | SELL | 0.994 | $44.70 |
| 12-02 12:33 | Will Red Bull Salzburg win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.995 | $44.75 |