PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

84e0

0x4f926e80847b325040eaa1723725098d63a57fa4

Realised P&L
$-185.56
Volume
$127.2k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$14.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.001$14.37$244.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 07:32Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?BUY0.9989999424$3.78
07-29 07:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 29?BUY0.9939999967$1.20
07-29 07:31Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29?BUY0.9969998563$1.20
07-29 07:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 29?BUY0.999$1.19
07-29 07:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29?BUY0.997$1.40
07-29 07:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?BUY0.9969995005$1.05
07-29 07:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29?BUY0.9969999998$4.50
07-29 07:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 29?BUY0.996$1.37
07-29 07:27Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29?BUY0.995$1.10
07-29 07:25Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.998$1.80
07-29 07:24Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.996$1.93
06-25 10:37Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 25?BUY0.9969996504$1.60
06-25 10:36Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 25?BUY0.9989998006$2.50
06-25 10:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 25?BUY0.999$2.45
06-25 10:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25?BUY0.998$2.40