84e0
0x4f926e80847b325040eaa1723725098d63a57fa4
- Realised P&L
- $-185.56
- Volume
- $127.2k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $14.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $14.37 | −$244.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.71at 0.560Games Total: O/U 3.5
- +$5.00at 0.950LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
- +$1.37at 0.346Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$1.26at 0.979Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.22at 0.989Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9989999424 | $3.78 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9939999967 | $1.20 |
| 07-29 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969998563 | $1.20 |
| 07-29 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 07-29 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.40 |
| 07-29 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969995005 | $1.05 |
| 07-29 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 41°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $4.50 |
| 07-29 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.37 |
| 07-29 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.10 |
| 07-29 07:25 | Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.80 |
| 07-29 07:24 | Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.93 |
| 06-25 10:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.9969996504 | $1.60 |
| 06-25 10:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.9989998006 | $2.50 |
| 06-25 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.45 |
| 06-25 10:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.40 |