Sdfghji
0x4f90a3eafe60584418cb3fc9134785cbe2bf517d
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $489.5k
- Markets traded
- 495
- Open portfolio
- $20.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded495
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.160Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
- +$2.3kat 0.516Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.588 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.660Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$1.7kat 0.543Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 12:29 | Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.6538851494 | $3.0k |
| 10-30 06:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.339751818 | $1.0k |
| 10-30 05:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.328 | $11.48 |
| 10-30 00:50 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.00 |
| 10-30 00:36 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7290752413 | $1.5k |
| 10-27 23:32 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 10-27 23:13 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 10-27 20:20 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.959 | $3.1k |
| 10-27 20:20 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.0k |
| 10-25 22:26 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1958312633 | $1.0k |
| 10-25 22:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.8k |
| 10-25 11:03 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.507137546 | $300.00 |
| 10-25 09:21 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-25 09:20 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.71 | $1.0k |
| 10-25 05:30 | Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $3.0k |