0x4f8bd113dbb20eddab22d6ce98185320d966db53
0x4f8bd113dbb20eddab22d6ce98185320d966db53
- Realised P&L
- $7.71
- Volume
- $64.21
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $10.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.555 | $3.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.645 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.215 | $2.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.205 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.70at 0.564FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5
- +$2.67at 0.667Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$2.40at 0.687Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?
- +$1.59at 0.667Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
- +$-2.65at 0.605Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:43 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 10-20 03:42 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.59999997 | $4.00 |
| 10-20 03:41 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 10-20 03:31 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 03:20 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 21:17 | FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.529999947 | $4.50 |
| 10-18 20:05 | Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 08:28 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 09-19 10:41 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.50 |