PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4f8bd113dbb20eddab22d6ce98185320d966db53

0x4f8bd113dbb20eddab22d6ce98185320d966db53

Realised P&L
$7.71
Volume
$64.21
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$10.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.6000.555$3.70−$0.30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.6400.645$3.02+$0.02
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.2000.215$2.15+$0.15
Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.205$1.95−$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:43Will Liverpool FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
10-20 03:42Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.59999997$4.00
10-20 03:41Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.64$3.00
10-20 03:31Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.2$2.00
10-19 03:20Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-19?BUY0.649999974$5.00
10-18 21:17FC Cincinnati vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5BUY0.529999947$4.50
10-18 20:05Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.6299999685$3.00
10-18 08:28Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.63$5.04
09-19 10:41Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$2.50