0x4F889B49EF40a1D60504Ee1D6bB3d9b1779DbC75-1767807672530
0x4f889b49ef40a1d60504ee1d6bb3d9b1779dbc75
- Realised P&L
- $-73.95
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.063 | $13.71 | −$76.29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? · Yes | 0.213 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$213.16at 0.190Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?
- +$139.18at 0.390Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-05 17:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | BUY | 0.0699999987 | $50.00 |
| 02-07 20:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 02-07 20:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | BUY | 0.2132315956 | $50.00 |
| 02-01 22:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.4499595016 | $100.00 |
| 02-01 21:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February? | BUY | 0.1899999975 | $50.00 |
| 01-07 17:53 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | BUY | 0.4102390443 | $90.00 |
| 01-07 17:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.3799999987 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 17:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 17:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | SELL | 0.3563913264 | $182.76 |
| 01-07 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 17:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |