mooreapril
0x4f868ea88b286172c2acd7216c15748aa8a0fb7e
- Realised P&L
- $-94.08
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $60.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.640 | $21.72 | −$1.36 |
| Spread: Texas (-8.5) · Oklahoma | 0.530 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$9.40 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.735 | $15.16 | +$0.93 |
| Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections? · No | 0.800 | 0.088 | $3.48 | −$28.15 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 October 5-11? · No | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.49at 0.606Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
- +$14.11at 0.520Will Left Party (V) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?
- +$6.75at 0.750Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?
- +$5.39at 0.730Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 12?
- +$1.68at 0.580Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 07:16 | Will Global Esports Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026? | BUY | 0.693 | $13.86 |
| 01-31 13:44 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $11.51 |
| 01-30 15:33 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 01-30 12:47 | Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.12 |
| 01-30 12:30 | Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.86 |
| 12-30 01:12 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.24 |
| 12-29 22:19 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.65 |
| 12-29 22:11 | Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9990000009 | $10.00 |
| 12-29 19:26 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.994999986 | $46.58 |
| 10-30 23:21 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.14 |
| 10-30 22:03 | Will XRP reach $3.50 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.91 |
| 10-30 18:32 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.72 |
| 09-29 09:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999611 | $17.31 |
| 09-29 04:17 | Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.08 |
| 09-29 03:27 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.9979999607 | $17.79 |