0x4f83fD7Fd887b240E43CfE58F12CBa31619c8C23-1766038351139
0x4f83fd7fd887b240e43cfe58f12cba31619c8c23
- Realised P&L
- $-148.56
- Volume
- $95.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,881
- Open portfolio
- $0.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,881
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.84at 0.136Jazz vs. Cavaliers
- +$238.01at 0.155Thunder vs. Heat
- +$104.80at 0.200Rockets vs. Kings
- +$71.25at 0.170Mavericks vs. Knicks
- +$68.41at 0.200Nets vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-09 14:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 02-28 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | SELL | 0.011 | $0.07 |
| 02-27 02:55 | Lakers vs. Suns | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 02-25 02:35 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | SELL | 0.03 | $0.18 |
| 02-25 01:56 | Knicks vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 02-24 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $3.17 |
| 02-23 14:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 02-21 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 02-21 12:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 02-21 02:17 | Mavericks vs. Timberwolves | SELL | 0.144 | $2.88 |
| 02-14 11:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 02-14 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 02-14 04:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 02-14 01:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 8PM ET | SELL | 0.43 | $0.00 |
| 02-13 15:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |