PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4f81B13552eBb6CF9e8A22D50dc01E2107a286fB-1760957733733

0x4f81b13552ebb6cf9e8a22d50dc01e2107a286fb

Realised P&L
$-237.27
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$44.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.1700.439$25.83+$15.83
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20? · Yes0.2910.335$11.53+$1.53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? · Yes0.1070.070$6.52$3.48
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? · Yes0.1140.002$0.13$9.87
Ethereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$36.13
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 3? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$9.40
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on October 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$12.80
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3260.000$0.00$13.05
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 4? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on November 1? · Yes0.4730.000$0.00$28.40
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$71.37
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on November 1? · Yes0.4920.000$0.00$9.85
Will the highest temperature in London be between 41-42°F on November 21? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$10.60
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on November 1? · No0.8000.000$0.00$8.00
Solana Up or Down - December 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00$19.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 07:14Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.169957006$10.00
09-20 07:11Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?BUY0.290655428$10.00
09-20 07:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20?BUY0.107430617$10.00
09-20 07:09Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20?BUY0.1136163517$10.00
09-19 06:28Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.2099999983$10.00
09-19 06:21Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETBUY0.3899999945$10.00
01-07 06:23Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.255$2.55
01-07 02:29Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.35$10.50
12-12 21:05Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?SELL0.99$3.08
12-12 20:51Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12?BUY0.96$2.99
12-12 17:07Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 12?SELL0.999$4.34
12-12 17:07Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 12?SELL0.999$1.37
12-12 17:07Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 12?SELL0.999$3.04
12-12 16:46Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 12?BUY0.985$1.35
12-12 16:44Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 12?BUY0.968$2.94