0x4f81B13552eBb6CF9e8A22D50dc01E2107a286fB-1760957733733
0x4f81b13552ebb6cf9e8a22d50dc01e2107a286fb
- Realised P&L
- $-237.27
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $44.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.08at 0.541Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 30?
- +$12.01at 0.450Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on October 29?
- +$11.52at 0.687Will the highest temperature in London be between 44-45°F on November 25?
- +$10.78at 0.460Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 17?
- +$10.10at 0.485Will the highest temperature in London be between 39-40°F on November 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.169957006 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.290655428 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.107430617 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1136163517 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 06:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 06:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 01-07 06:23 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.255 | $2.55 |
| 01-07 02:29 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 12-12 21:05 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.08 |
| 12-12 20:51 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 8 – Dec 12? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.99 |
| 12-12 17:07 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.34 |
| 12-12 17:07 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.37 |
| 12-12 17:07 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.04 |
| 12-12 16:46 | Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on December 12? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.35 |
| 12-12 16:44 | Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 12? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.94 |