0x4f7eF2F998431568fA9C161aa61575d262d65f31-1788726762056
0x4f7ef2f998431568fa9c161aa61575d262d65f31
- Realised P&L
- $114.95
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $10.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.999 | $3.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $2.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? · No | 0.990 | 0.994 | $2.98 | +$0.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 14°C or below on September 20? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.295 | $1.77 | −$4.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.35at 0.795Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 16?
- +$11.24at 0.774Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on September 12?
- +$11.05at 0.944Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19?
- +$9.31at 0.952Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 18?
- +$5.77at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.97 |
| 09-20 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.97 |
| 09-20 12:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.24 |
| 09-20 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.88 |
| 09-20 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.988 | $21.74 |
| 09-20 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.97 |
| 09-19 21:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.93 |
| 09-19 21:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9769117647 | $66.43 |
| 09-19 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 09-19 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 09-19 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9409335 | $188.19 |
| 09-19 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 09-19 04:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.99 |