q1rku
0x4f77253176fba3425545f2fb694f8a47e0b5ce31
- Realised P&L
- $-125.34
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $21.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 12:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $15.14 |
| 08-18 09:31 | Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0100147927 | $48.00 |
| 08-18 09:30 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0103455967 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 12:10 | Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999996 | $13.88 |
| 01-26 11:38 | Will the U.S. collect between $500b and $1t in revenue in 2025? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:36 | Will Trump meet with MrBeast in January 2026? | BUY | 0.0117802975 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:36 | Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026? | BUY | 0.022999978 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:35 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999408 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:35 | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.0178275898 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:33 | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 11:32 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 10:15 | Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 10:10 | Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 01-26 10:08 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.0449999575 | $1.00 |