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Traders

0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774

0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$186.0k
Markets traded
357
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded357
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 7? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$52.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 4? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 29? · Yes0.2340.000$0.00−$159.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00−$204.94
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$200.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 2? · Yes0.2790.000$0.00−$300.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 27? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$250.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$117.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 18? · Yes0.4670.000$0.00−$150.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 24? · Yes0.4190.000$0.00−$450.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$4.50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 4? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00−$201.00
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$98.60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 23? · Yes0.2110.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 11:40Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27?BUY0.34$5.91
09-25 10:51Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?BUY0.26862592$54.02
09-24 13:28Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25?BUY0.14$0.70
09-23 16:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24?BUY0.15$0.75
09-22 11:02Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23?BUY0.1659454952$100.00
09-21 08:36Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22?BUY0.2500846436$100.00
09-20 07:09Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.3707196101$116.38
09-17 15:08Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.4207343084$150.00
09-16 09:20Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17?BUY0.2292383532$117.65
09-10 04:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11?BUY0.1513229026$100.00
09-09 04:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10?BUY0.4137239859$115.00
09-08 21:04Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9?BUY0.3002403857$200.00
09-07 03:24Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 7?SELL0.58$5.80
09-06 23:22Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?BUY0.3270348827$150.00
09-06 23:21Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 8?SELL0.4726736668$97.23
Trader 0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774 · PolyBot Pro