0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774
0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $186.0k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.294Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?
- +$836.99at 0.256Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?
- +$773.41at 0.332Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 30?
- +$758.68at 0.235Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9?
- +$692.85at 0.264Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 11:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.91 |
| 09-25 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.26862592 | $54.02 |
| 09-24 13:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 09-23 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-22 11:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.1659454952 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2500846436 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 07:09 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3707196101 | $116.38 |
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4207343084 | $150.00 |
| 09-16 09:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.2292383532 | $117.65 |
| 09-10 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 11? | BUY | 0.1513229026 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.4137239859 | $115.00 |
| 09-08 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.3002403857 | $200.00 |
| 09-07 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 09-06 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.3270348827 | $150.00 |
| 09-06 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.4726736668 | $97.23 |