0x4f74fd3694138c4bc93104ba61bd580409d98774
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $135.6k
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $141.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$846.23at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?
- +$698.72at 0.258Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 2?
- +$544.04at 0.155Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 7?
- +$540.60at 0.389Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?
- +$538.04at 0.289Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2379811306 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.3172833212 | $4.36 |
| 08-08 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.052005933 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2293120605 | $50.00 |
| 08-07 02:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.24 |
| 08-07 01:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.2398173551 | $150.00 |
| 08-06 09:02 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.484631734 | $300.00 |
| 08-05 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4210462596 | $220.00 |
| 08-05 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.39 | $0.19 |
| 08-04 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.3989361702 | $225.00 |
| 08-04 02:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.95 |
| 08-03 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1586819874 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2471169687 | $60.00 |
| 08-02 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.14 | $10.42 |