tjofi
0x4f726e77412c2c9c6a75b3572793867070b879cc
- Realised P&L
- $-40.25
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $71.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.005 | $66.23 | −$153.45 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.140 | $1.88 | −$5.12 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.003 | $1.65 | −$2.65 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.49 | +$0.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.41 | −$0.81 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.37 | −$0.20 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.004 | $0.25 | −$1.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10AM ET · Up | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.40at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET
- +$-10.02at 0.020Will Trump say "Slob" in September?
- +$-10.20at 0.010Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week?
- +$-11.63at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 19:50 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.006 | $20.90 |
| 09-06 14:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 14:37 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.49 |
| 09-06 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 11:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 08:11 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.50 |
| 09-05 16:28 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.76 |
| 09-05 14:55 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.93 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 10:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 10:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |