PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4F715E954C2FEd797ef41887cA2260450819927b-1763313404186

0x4f715e954c2fed797ef41887ca2260450819927b

Realised P&L
$-81.86
Volume
$990.18
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$105.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 18:23Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.8861105678$100.80
09-22 19:48Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.8963891672$99.30
09-22 14:10Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?BUY0.298999981$4.40
09-04 07:20Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?BUY0.4710874157$17.05
09-02 23:38Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.219999961$3.84
06-26 07:17Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Norway vs France FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.8599999923$8.97
06-25 21:49Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Turkiye vs USA FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.9199999956$8.30
06-25 21:16Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.33$8.53
06-25 04:36Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Ecuador vs Germany FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.75$19.39
06-15 21:06Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?BUY0.5399999785$10.57
06-11 15:08Will "Office Romance" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY0.938360103$8.90
06-10 05:37Will Donald Trump dance on June 9, 2026?SELL0.987$8.95
06-09 12:07Will Donald Trump dance on June 9, 2026?BUY0.9399999956$8.53
06-09 07:17Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?SELL0.1618935808$8.55
06-09 06:52Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?BUY0.16$8.45