gerbi
0x4f6c76c845a6ca10b2ff20ffae64ec9f01e7be8c
- Realised P&L
- $-397.75
- Volume
- $73.7k
- Markets traded
- 792
- Open portfolio
- $19.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded792
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $4.92 | +$1.92 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.475 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $2.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Brighton and Hove Albion WFC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Arda Guler: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.200 | 0.100 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.240 | 0.115 | $1.44 | −$1.56 |
| Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.310 | 0.140 | $1.35 | −$1.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.02at 0.139Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-05?
- +$66.40at 0.137Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-18?
- +$57.52at 0.339Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$53.41at 0.366Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$49.65at 0.570Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 05:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $8.00 |
| 09-20 05:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 05:08 | Arda Guler: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 05:07 | Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 05:04 | Will Brighton and Hove Albion WFC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 04:53 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.9 | $19.24 |
| 09-20 03:28 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 02:12 | Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 01:34 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999736 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 00:00 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 23:59 | Jude Bellingham: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 23:59 | Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3099999793 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 23:41 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.52 |
| 09-19 23:41 | Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.011 | $36.10 |
| 09-18 19:34 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $3.50 |