Runon
0x4f6a401443115b5ec2698966b48fc615f2d9f60c
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $275.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,143
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.39at 0.901Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 16?
- +$192.48at 0.087Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 31?
- +$174.74at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$165.59at 0.081Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 17?
- +$152.65at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 09:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 08:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.0174040475 | $1.75 |
| 08-03 05:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.65 |
| 08-03 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.24 |
| 08-03 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.32 |
| 08-03 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0684512994 | $3.24 |
| 08-03 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.0265772577 | $2.66 |
| 08-03 02:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.87 |
| 08-03 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.85 |
| 08-03 02:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.1629871395 | $8.36 |
| 08-03 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 01:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |