PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Runon

0x4f6a401443115b5ec2698966b48fc615f2d9f60c

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$275.1k
Markets traded
1,143
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,143
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.4$8.00
08-03 08:51Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?SELL0.4$2.00
08-03 07:48Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.0174040475$1.75
08-03 05:28Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?SELL0.06$0.65
08-03 05:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.09$3.24
08-03 04:58Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.12$1.32
08-03 04:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.0684512994$3.24
08-03 03:24Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.0265772577$2.66
08-03 02:23Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?BUY0.08$0.87
08-03 02:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.07$0.85
08-03 02:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.1629871395$8.36
08-03 01:48Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.18$4.50
08-03 01:42Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3?SELL0.19$3.80
08-03 01:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.19$3.80
08-03 01:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 3?BUY0.15$3.00