PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

GottesMorder

0x4f6a0055d293837b6189400d63cec164159c2f7b

Realised P&L
$-9.53
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$0.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes0.2100.105$0.82$0.82
Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? · No0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-20 00:52Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?BUY0.2099999224$1.65
04-17 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
04-17 03:43Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.001$1.00
04-14 00:57Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19)BUY0.239999856$1.00
04-13 05:10Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.3599998704$0.91
04-13 04:41Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.4399998064$0.92
04-13 04:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.5899998466$0.94
04-13 04:30Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.7099999432$0.96
04-13 04:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.059999946$0.86
04-13 04:16Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?BUY0.0029411188$1.00
04-13 04:15Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (April 19)BUY0.4$1.00
04-13 04:11Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0069438245$1.00
04-13 04:05US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?BUY0.8549999743$1.00
04-13 04:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
04-13 04:02Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?BUY0.003$1.00