GottesMorder
0x4f6a0055d293837b6189400d63cec164159c2f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.53
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $0.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.105 | $0.82 | −$0.82 |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
- +$1.04at 0.619Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$0.53at 0.741Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
- +$0.17at 0.855US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.003Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-20 00:52 | Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999224 | $1.65 |
| 04-17 03:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 04-17 03:43 | Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-14 00:57 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 05:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.91 |
| 04-13 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $0.92 |
| 04-13 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $0.94 |
| 04-13 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $0.96 |
| 04-13 04:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.059999946 | $0.86 |
| 04-13 04:16 | Will Trump name "Leo XIV" or "Pope" in April? | BUY | 0.0029411188 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 04:15 | Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 04:11 | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0069438245 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 04:05 | US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.8549999743 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 04:03 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 04-13 04:02 | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |