hamburgersol
0x4f663b0f5b9abf992bf63d09e42be6294ea26d2d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $43.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)67.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.056 | $43.43 | −$56.57 |
| Suns vs. Rockets · Suns | 0.269 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5 · Over | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Kings vs. Lakers · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Celtics | 0.582 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) · KT Rolster | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Suns vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · No | 0.109 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Spread: Lakers (-13.5) · Kings | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Magic · Nuggets | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Lakers vs. Hawks · Lakers | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Spurs vs. Grizzlies · Spurs | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.91at 0.632Pistons vs. Magic
- +$183.93at 0.521Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$169.33at 0.535Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
- +$166.67at 0.750LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$150.00at 0.250Spurs vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 03:34 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | SELL | 0.165718446 | $85.36 |
| 06-04 03:10 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.4900519455 | $100.00 |
| 05-26 18:27 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4 | $150.00 |
| 05-22 17:19 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $200.00 |
| 05-19 17:54 | Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.1278041934 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 03:44 | Spurs vs. Thunder | SELL | 0.999 | $213.23 |
| 05-19 03:28 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.4684965928 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 03:28 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1455820445 | $202.20 |
| 05-14 06:32 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.321526539 | $100.00 |
| 05-14 06:31 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1439999995 | $200.00 |
| 05-05 03:55 | Timberwolves vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 14:03 | Lakers vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-26 08:04 | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY | 0.5728604386 | $97.44 |
| 04-26 04:44 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | SELL | 0.999 | $200.75 |
| 04-25 19:50 | Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.4899999991 | $96.94 |