PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4f65f4d4d53365560efc7c1b75475a7351c72372

0x4f65f4d4d53365560efc7c1b75475a7351c72372

Realised P&L
$0.31
Volume
$166.84
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$6.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? · Yes0.3400.700$2.06+$1.06
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · Yes0.3400.395$1.16+$0.16
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · Yes0.4600.475$1.03+$0.03
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · Yes0.3300.335$1.02+$0.02
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · No0.6100.595$0.98−$0.02
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5? · Yes0.5930.007$0.01−$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 23:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-10 10:33Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-10 01:47Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 17:34Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-09 09:27Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7839999561$1.00
10-08 11:59Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-08 03:58WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-07 19:56Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 11:55Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 03:54Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.5929998737$1.00
10-03 16:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-03 06:16Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-02 22:08Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-02 13:27Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-02 05:25SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2?BUY0.6899999586$1.00