PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4f63d38357a2a9327c369b0544b8430528ec3b95

Realised P&L
$-4.12
Volume
$621.00
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$57.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9280.955$23.86+$0.66
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1800.165$8.58$0.76
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · No0.6590.601$6.00$0.58
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9300.925$5.55$0.03
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9340.910$4.55$0.12
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.3000.220$3.96$1.44
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · Yes0.1570.085$1.87$1.58
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.150$1.50$0.20
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.1820.090$0.81$0.83
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? · Yes0.0900.025$0.51$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 13:27Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.21$4.20
07-14 08:21Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.182$1.64
07-11 01:34Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.14$1.54
07-10 04:46Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.93$5.58
07-04 21:26Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.15$1.80
06-23 18:37Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.661$3.31
06-21 14:56Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.657$3.29
06-17 12:39US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.12
06-17 12:30Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$2.40
06-15 12:02US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.16$1.28
06-12 23:16Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$1.70
06-07 09:17Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.925$4.63
06-05 01:25Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.929$18.58
06-02 14:26US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.15$1.05
05-29 12:07Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.934$4.67