PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cgdg

0x4f5bb6dcf70fb8312b2e31c10472ba082f27c6b4

Realised P&L
$-3.2k
Volume
$154.0k
Markets traded
98
Open portfolio
$300.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded98
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.2100.045$300.08$1.1k
Iran strike on US military by January 31? · Yes0.1670.000$0.00$21.30
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$18.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$293.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$50.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$5.00
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Men's Group C - Latvia vs. USA · Latvia0.0600.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 6? · Up0.4210.000$0.00$57.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes0.1250.000$0.00$30.00
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$85.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Top Esports0.2900.000$0.00$15.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:44Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1199999999$46.58
09-15 11:25Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.11$92.37
09-15 00:00Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1199999999$92.26
09-14 23:42Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.12$91.74
09-14 23:32Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1199999998$27.23
09-14 23:32Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.08$23.53
09-14 04:55Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.52$110.64
05-20 15:26Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?BUY0.4399999965$25.00
05-20 15:22Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.0959987392$353.31
05-13 11:23Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2983949087$196.00
05-13 11:20Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.2827872274$100.00
05-10 20:29Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.3399999978$100.00
05-10 20:28Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4699999985$100.00
05-10 20:19Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.247292771$523.45
04-02 17:17Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.3960788197$100.00