0x4f5ac7b9ebde0f50b558aba679c4d895da41669b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $26.2k
- Markets traded
- 243
- Open portfolio
- $57.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded243
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles · Chiba Lotte Marines | 0.460 | 0.485 | $13.58 | +$0.70 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars · Tokyo Yakult Swallows | 0.430 | 0.425 | $11.90 | −$0.14 |
| Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks · Orix Buffaloes | 0.430 | 0.395 | $11.06 | −$0.98 |
| Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions · Saitama Seibu Lions | 0.340 | 0.340 | $9.52 | +$0.00 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.375 | 0.352 | $8.11 | −$0.52 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers · Kia Tigers | 0.610 | 0.647 | $3.24 | +$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.34at 0.597Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5
- +$73.22at 0.498Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
- +$53.88at 0.478Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)
- +$42.93at 0.769Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
- +$37.10at 0.256Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:44 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.375 | $8.63 |
| 09-17 00:38 | Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Saitama Seibu Lions | BUY | 0.34 | $9.52 |
| 09-17 00:13 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $30.10 |
| 09-17 00:13 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $26.60 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks | BUY | 0.43 | $12.04 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles | BUY | 0.46 | $12.88 |
| 09-16 23:31 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Yokohama BayStars | BUY | 0.43 | $12.04 |
| 09-16 22:41 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.82 | $28.70 |
| 09-16 22:14 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7 | $24.50 |
| 09-16 15:16 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Kia Tigers | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-16 14:40 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $8.28 |
| 09-16 13:35 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $25.90 |
| 09-16 06:52 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 09-16 02:00 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $20.30 |
| 09-15 17:12 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |