PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4F55A89498a2Fc1BF88b1f62131816A8A65d4731-1771534286272

0x4f55a89498a2fc1bf88b1f62131816a8a65d4731

Realised P&L
$42.14
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$148.37

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3350.247$110.82$39.18
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1600.065$20.31$29.69
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2000.115$11.50$8.50
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.2120.121$5.73$4.27
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$10.00
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$20.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$20.00
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$20.00
Tucker Carlson federally charged? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 21? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$30.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.1920.000$0.00$10.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$10.00
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$20.00
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-21 18:49Iran closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.1920417883$10.00
05-17 17:33Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0349999935$5.00
05-17 17:33Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999954$5.00
05-17 17:32Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1149999952$20.00
05-17 17:30Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?BUY0.0506162529$10.00
05-17 17:21Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026?BUY0.2118794192$10.00
05-17 17:03Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?BUY0.0737763242$20.00
05-17 17:00Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2330096945$10.00
05-17 16:54Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.2$20.00
05-17 16:50Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?BUY0.0719999938$10.00
05-17 16:49Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0311647838$5.00
05-17 16:48Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0083348768$5.00
05-17 16:47Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0390285021$10.00
05-17 16:46Tucker Carlson federally charged?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
05-17 16:43Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY0.0420000002$10.00