rbsp
0x4f4b607ae05b348765f008ca53d42274bccebb93
- Realised P&L
- $-18.8k
- Volume
- $4.05M
- Markets traded
- 740
- Open portfolio
- $308.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded740
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) · Cardinals | 0.730 | 0.981 | $200.34 | +$51.26 |
| Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 34.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.695 | $108.32 | −$5.46 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-17.5) · Colts | 0.730 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$170.45 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) · Falcons | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.365Rockets vs. Suns
- +$4.7kat 0.447Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$4.4kat 0.372Canucks vs. Sharks
- +$4.2kat 0.282Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire
- +$3.7kat 0.830Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:27 | Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 34.5 | BUY | 0.7299999986 | $113.78 |
| 11-01 15:40 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999973 | $130.29 |
| 11-01 15:26 | Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) | BUY | 0.729999999 | $149.08 |
| 11-01 14:11 | Spread: Jaguars (-17.5) | BUY | 0.7299999996 | $170.57 |
| 11-01 14:04 | Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.7399999996 | $195.15 |
| 10-31 15:57 | Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7399999979 | $183.00 |
| 10-31 15:11 | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $209.14 |
| 10-31 14:11 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.7399999998 | $239.46 |
| 10-31 08:26 | Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs The Huns Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.7199999992 | $228.74 |
| 10-30 16:35 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Jerome Kym vs Jiri Lehecka | BUY | 0.7199999995 | $183.22 |
| 10-30 16:11 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs paiN (BO3) - Gamers Club Masters Group B | BUY | 0.7099999994 | $209.82 |
| 10-29 22:00 | Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $196.39 |
| 10-29 17:22 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $224.86 |
| 10-27 20:57 | Spread: Islanders (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $181.30 |
| 10-27 18:42 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27? | BUY | 0.7399999991 | $207.59 |