0x4F4504088610ED19A9Ceef79312932054026783B-1768248065672
0x4f4504088610ed19a9ceef79312932054026783b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.53
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $13.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.889 | $4.45 | +$1.15 |
| Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.820 | $4.10 | +$0.40 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · No | 0.747 | 0.757 | $3.79 | +$0.05 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.300 | $1.50 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.89at 0.008Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
- +$2.84at 0.432Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
- +$2.69at 0.462Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
- +$1.35at 0.730Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:12 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.020632 | $0.41 |
| 10-15 06:59 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 10-15 03:13 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.78 |
| 10-14 20:24 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7469999646 | $3.74 |
| 10-14 16:24 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-14 14:24 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-13 22:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-13 04:41 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 10-13 03:42 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-12 20:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-12 20:15 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $4.88 |
| 10-12 20:15 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.89 |
| 10-12 20:15 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 10-12 20:14 | Is Earth flat? | SELL | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |