PolyBot

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Traders

Rafael624

0x4f43b48304d5d432e0c18f9354fb87f4f7177015

Realised P&L
$146.16
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$192.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.1060.085$80.03−$19.97
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.355$45.81+$5.81
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0700.055$40.07−$10.93
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.033$22.27−$17.73
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0080.004$4.14−$5.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 16:27Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.07$51.00
10-30 15:58Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.0592780805$40.00
10-30 15:51Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0084621555$10.00
10-30 14:17Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.1062057979$100.00
10-30 14:02Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.9877385592$197.71
10-16 10:12Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.25$50.04
10-14 18:20Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999978$40.00