b00mz
0x4f3de8afe47cfc2754a8a8f5f9bbc3b220b59f2f
- Realised P&L
- $-54.33
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $0.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.090Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
- +$3.72at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?
- +$3.32at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 24?
- +$2.96at 0.005Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?
- +$2.85at 0.075Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-04 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.30 |
| 08-04 00:35 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.99 |
| 08-03 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-02 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 07-30 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-30 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 07-29 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-29 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-29 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 07-19 19:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.232 | $0.75 |
| 07-17 13:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |