CryptoJohnMax
0x4f3d92b0d244854dfa744781a4ffb62e29802023
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $966.0k
- Markets traded
- 731
- Open portfolio
- $946.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded731
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $506.25 | +$6.25 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.410 | 1.000 | $243.90 | +$143.90 |
| Avalanche vs. Flyers · Avalanche | 0.688 | 0.675 | $196.17 | −$3.83 |
| AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flames · Hurricanes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Seahawks vs. Broncos · Seahawks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.387Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$4.7kat 0.681Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
- +$3.8kat 0.517Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$3.5kat 0.585Cavaliers vs. Lakers
- +$3.3kat 0.477Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 03:37 | Avalanche vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.6881704981 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 03:36 | Hurricanes vs. Flames | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $200.00 |
| 10-18 03:32 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $100.00 |
| 10-17 20:49 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.4 | $500.00 |
| 10-17 19:44 | AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 10-17 18:56 | AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.4909469385 | $500.00 |
| 10-17 18:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 10-17 03:11 | Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999996 | $500.00 |
| 10-17 03:02 | Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.31 | $500.00 |
| 10-17 03:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7088177981 | $2.0k |
| 10-15 20:57 | Blues vs. Wild | BUY | 0.57 | $200.00 |
| 10-15 20:55 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.57 | $2.0k |
| 10-14 20:58 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.8k |
| 10-14 20:58 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.9k |
| 10-14 20:45 | Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Porto end in a draw? | SELL | 0.12 | $4.19 |