PolyBot

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Traders

PapiBowser

0x4f3818cc7bca7c79680bb7fd3ac4108b7f3a2e85

Realised P&L
$6.5k
Volume
$558.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$618.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0570.070$507.64+$95.88
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0070.004$110.54−$119.45
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$899.99
Rams vs. Bears · Bears0.3000.000$0.00−$4.9k
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP? · Yes0.5240.000$0.00−$20.2k
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$943.22
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.2k
Mavericks vs. Knicks · Knicks0.0020.000$0.00−$66.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 03:10Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0640719049$263.69
10-26 03:10Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0072827236$230.00
10-21 15:53Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.048$20.71
10-20 14:09Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.0058497812$156.61
10-03 13:24Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0536833364$943.23
10-03 13:22Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0373514122$1.0k
06-13 00:53Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0149999999$160.99
05-31 08:34Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.015$1000.00
05-17 16:39Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2409999993$200.00
05-17 16:38Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2392402121$11.7k
05-17 16:38Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2499569054$8.3k
05-09 06:07Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.2882286868$917.77
05-09 06:03Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.2629888031$906.86
05-03 02:46Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.2899999998$1000.00
05-03 02:2876ers vs. CelticsSELL0.999$2.5k